U..S. Home Prices Showing Consistent Gains

Finally, home prices across the country are showing consistent increases most likely due to a decline in foreclosures and the lowest mortgage rates in history.  In fact, some of the cities hardest hit by the real estate bust have seen impressive price increases: Phoenix up nearly 14 percent, Miami up 4.4 percent. 


Even with these gains, prices have a long way to go to recover from their plunge during the housing bust of 2006-2008.  Nationally prices were down 31.6 percent below the April 2006 peak, based on the S&P/CaseShiller index which covers about half of U. S. homes.
 
And keep in mind we're not yet seeing price increases in the Grand Strand market, though we are seeing more sales.  What's holding us back?  Possibly that we have more second homes and investment properties, categories that have more distressed inventory.

National Flood Insurance Re-Authorized

The Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012 was passed late last week as part of a transportation funding bill and signed into law by the president on July 6, 2012. The legislation extends National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) authority through September 30, 2017.


This 5 year re-authorization of the National Flood Insurance Program ensures access to affordable flood insurance for millions of home and business owners across the country. The 5-year re-authorization will end the uncertainty of NFIP stopgap extensions and shutdowns.


This legislation is especially important to Grand Strand property owners as flood insurance is required for mortgages. Without NFIP flood insurance rates would sky rocket, pricing many out of the market and further depressing coastal South Carolina prices.

Help For SC Home Owners Facing Foreclosure

Need help with your mortgage?

The S.C. Homeownership and Employment Lending Program has given about $26 million in aid to South Carolinians facing foreclosure since January 2011, but that's not even 10 percent of the $295 million it was given by the U.S. Treasury after South Carolina became one of five states to qualify in 2010 for the Obama administration's "Hardest-Hit Fund," based on high unemployment rates


Aid per home is capped at $36,000, meaning the program still has the resources to help you or someone you know.


The program has been endorsed by most of the large lenders in the state, including Citibank, Bank of America and Wells Fargo.


Applicants must meet at least one of several criteria: being unemployed, underemployed, dealing with the death of a spouse or facing unforeseen health issues.

The program is a nonprofit division of the SC state Housing Finance and Development Authority.

For more information: www.scmortgagehelp.com

But hurry,Whatever money SC HELP has left after 2017 must be returned to the U.S. Treasury.

.

Harvard: Home Sales Finally Poised to Improve

Harvard: Home Sales Finally Poised to Improve


Click the link above to read the article...

Forecosures Take Big Jump in 1st Quarter

In the first quarter of 2012, Horry County foreclosure filings were up 95% compared to last year with about 1460, most of which were lis pendens, the papers lenders file to start the foreclosure process.  About 1 out of every 127 properties in the state has a foreclosure filing, the 3rd highest in the state and the 10th highest in the nation.

What brought about the jump?  The economy is still weak and some of increase is those folks who were struggling to keep ahead and now they've had to let go.  Also federal and state lawsuits against 5 of the largest lenders has been settled, so a lot of pending foreclosures moved to foreclosure. 

The foreclosures continue to push down prices, in March the median price of a home or condo along the Grand Strand was $130,000 down 10.3 % from the same month last year.  With the tough financing environment, it's investors who are keeping the market going, paying cash--51 % of 1st quarter sales were cash.

FHA TIGHTENS LENDING AGAIN!

Beginning April 1, borrowers with on going credit disputes totaling more than $1000 will not be able to get a mortgage insured by the Federal Housing Administration.

This is a significant tightening for the FHA; previously there was no requirement that disputed credit account be paid off--before this rule a direct endorsement underwriter could determine if any of the borrower's debts should have an impact on the FHA's approval.

Now a borrower must either pay off the outstanding balance or document a payment arrangement that the lender must submit to the FHA before closing.  The payment arrangement will be counted into the debt-to-income ratio for the new home loan.

The rule excludes disputed accounts from more than two years ago, along with those related to theft.  But the lender must document an identity theft or a police report on the fraudulent charges.

The unintended consequences could be severe for those in the pipeline--kicking out many buyers, perhaps as many as 50%.  Bottom line, borrowers must clean up their credit reports before applying.

South Carolina Real Estate Tax Law Change

The South Carolina Real Property Valuation Reform Act of 2006 requires properties to be reassessed when there is a an "assessable transfer of interest", usually a change in ownership due to a sale.  Also known as a point of sale reassessment, it can cause large increases in property tax bills.

Last year the General Assembly changes the rules for commercial property, including rental property and second homes.  Such property is still reassessed, but the new value is discounted by 25 percent if the owner applies for the "commercial exemption."  The discounted assessment cannot be lower than the assessment prior to the sale or transfer.

So what's the affect been?  Large commercial deals are benefiting while the impact on second home sales is limited as many second homes are located along The Grand Strand where prices have been falling in recent years.  Still, if you've owned property for a long time and still have a gain, the break may help you get a higher price than the guy next door who bought a few years ago.

February 2012--Sales Up, Prices Down

Real Estate sales along The Grand Strand rose 10.2 percent in February, to 541, compared to last year, significantly out pacing state wide sales which increased 4.8 percent.  But prices continued to fall,  2.2 percent but compared to a state with increase of  2.6 percent.  However, if you look at other areas in the state, we're doing better--Aiken dropped 18.1 percent, Greenwood dropped 17.3 percent, the Piedmont region fell 15 percent and north Augusta fell 13.3 percent.  The median price of a house or a condo along the Strand fell to $135,000.

What are we likely to see going forward? --more of the same as the area works through a back log of foreclosures and a short sales.  Then there is the shadow inventory--houses not on the market, but whose owners want to sell.  Some are owned by banks and will hit the market as the foreclosure process is completed while others are owned by individuals waiting for the market to improve.

When can we see prices firming? Probably not until 2014.  When can we expect to see prices increasing? Even further out and then nothing like the boom years 2000-2006.  When prices start to increase again, they're likely to pace the rate of inflation, 2-3 percent a year.

Bottom line: A buyer's market for the next few years.

Tax Breaks for South Carolina Seniors

If you're turning 65, South Carolina has a deal for you, in fact lots of them. 

In the year you turn 65 you can deduct $15,000 from your taxable income for the year and a married couple, if each spouse is 65, can deduct $30,000 which would save the couple up to $2100 in state income tax. And SC does not tax Social Security payments as some states do. 

Next is a break on property taxes, over 65 and there's no tax on the first $50,000 of a home's value; the same break available to the blind and permanently disabled. The home must be one's legal residence and the homeowner must file an application with the county auditor's office.  A savings of around $300.

At 65 you pay $20 for your annual vehicle registration instead of $24, small change, but every little bit helps.  An annual pass for SC state parks, the Palmetto Passport is half price at $37.50 and can be purchased at any park office. 

If you want to return to school, state supported colleges and technical schools must offer low or no cost classes for retired seniors on a space available basis, usually starting at age 60. 

Discounts are also offered at many businesses, museums and attractions--just ask.   

FHA To Raise Fees

If you're buying or refinancing with a mortgage backed by the Federal Housing Administration you can expect their fees to increase, unless you hurry.

The agency is raising its fees in an effort to try to restore its depleted reserves, which suffered from the rising number of home owners who defaulted on their mortgages, and to try to encourage the return of more private capital to the market.

FHA loans allow for down payments as low as 3.5 percent and they often have less stringent credit requirements, which have made them soar in popularity in recent years. (The agency insures loans but doesn’t issue them.) About 40 percent of all new mortgages for home purchases in 2010 were FHA-backed mortgages.

Starting April 1, it will increase its annual mortgage insurance premium for loans under $625,500,  from 1.15 percent of the loan amount to 1.25 percent. Starting June 1, larger loan premiums will see an increase of 0.35 percent of a percentage point, bringing the total premium costs up to 1.5 percent of the loan amount.

FHA also announced it will raise their upfront mortgage premium by 0.75 of a percentage point, which will now total 1.75 percent of the loan amount.

So, a borrower with a 3.5 percent down payment with a mortgage of $193,000 can expect to pay an upfront mortgage premium alone of $3,377, compared to the prior $1,930 but it can be rolled into the mortgage. The new fees will also apply to home owners who want to refinance their mortgages.

The raise in fees is expected to bring in $1.25 billion in additional revenue to the agency through September 2013. 

The upfront increase is pretty stiff and isn't going to help home sales recover, not such a good idea if you ask me, but then they didn't.

 

FORECLOSURE vs. SHORTSALE

ISSUE

Credit Score: 

• Foreclosure will probably lower your FICO score from 250 to 300 points and will affect your credit score for 3 plus years
• With a successful short sale, only late payments on mortgage will show and after sale, the mortgage is usually reported "paid as agreed", "paid as negotiated" or "settled" with a 50 point score hit for 12 to 18 months

Credit History:

• A foreclosure remains as a public record on a person's credit history for 10 years or more
• A short sale is not reported on a person's credit history.

Current Employment:

• Employers have the right and regularly check the credit of employees in sensitive positions; a foreclosure may be grounds for reassignment or termination.  If a person is a police officer, a military member or working for a government agency such as the CIA, any security clearances will be revoked and the person reassigned or terminated.
• On its own, a short sale is usually not reported on a credit report and will likely not affect employment

Future Employment:

• Many employers require a credit check of all job applicants and a foreclosure will likely preclude hiring.
• A short sale is not reported and should have no effect.

Deficiency Judgement:

• In South Carolina, the bank has the right to pursue a deficiency judgement and chances are they will.  As foreclosed homes sell at lowers prices and the market is still declining, the result may be a higher judgement.
• In a short sale, it may be possible to convince the lender to fore go their right to pursue a deficiency judgement.  Short sales often sell close to market value, making any deficiency judgement lower.

Insurance:

• Insurance companies are now checking credit records and a foreclosure will likely boost car insurance rates and other types of insurance as well, such as a renter's policy
• A short sale is not reported and should have no effect

Loans:

• A foreclosure makes one ineligible for a Fannie Mae backed mortgage for 5 years; other types of mortgages will have a higher perhaps prohibitive rate
• A successful short sale generates a 2 year waiting period for a Fannie Mae backed mortgage and likely will not affect other loans as it's not reported.  However, if asked, a borrow should answer truthfully.

So, in every instance, it's worth it to make every attempt to work with your lender to avoid a foreclosure, no matter how difficult that may be.  Start early.

Grand Strand Market Report, January 2012

After declining during the second half of 2011, the number of single family homes and condos on the market increased slightly in January 2012, however, the 2012 inventory is still below January 2011 by almost 6%.  Good news if this trend continues.

Sale prices increased Horry and Georgetown Counties except in top end properties; another good trend; top end homes will respond in time.  The number of sales of single family homes was up almost 14% in January as compared to last year, but distressed (foreclosures & short sales) properties accounted for 37% of all single family sales.  While this is the best January sales performance since 2007, those distressed sales kept the median home price to $163,700, up slightly from a year ago. 

Condo sales numbers are similar, slight increase in inventory with a median sales price of $94,900, a 10% drop from January 2012.  The price drop was fueled by distressed sales and the large number of cash buyers--over 70% of all condos were sold for cash.  The high percentage of condo cash sales is interesting, probably mostly real estate investors who hope to turn a profit in a few years.  Time will tell, stay tuned. 

Technology Notes

Have trouble keeping up with the modern world? Does your "smart" phone have a mind of it's own? Have trouble figuring out how to get your CD collection into your walkman, er, ipod?

Check into OLLI, that is Osher Life Long Learning Institute at Coastal Carolina University which provides scores of short courses for adults during the day and evening at three locations along the Grand Strand.  I heard about a class for android tablet users, signed up and spent three delightful afternoons at CCU's 79th Street campus with instructor Kathleen Libby, a seasoned instructor and self admitted "geek."  The classes cost a few bucks, but I learned numerous tricks about my android tablet AND almost all of them were directly applicable to my android phone. I've now figured out what a widget is, how to "sync" my portable devices with my desk top and how to print from the "cloud."

Kathleen's tip on wire management for all those wires under your desk was alone worth the price of the course--visit the drug store for some of those clips that ladies use to hold their pony tails in place; that's right, they come in all sizes and snap open and closed.  You can go from an unsightly mess of cables to a neat solution in a skinny minute.

More information on OLLI at www.coastal.edu/olli or call 843-349-2767.  

Popsitive Trends in 2011 & 2012

Clearly 2011 was a challenging year, but there is a lot to be positive about looking ahead to the rest of 2012.  Housing statistics are starting to look good and the length of the housing down turn itself points to turning the corner, maybe this summer.  Washington's fiscal policy remains indecisive, but most major economic indicators are showing stability and positive, though admittedly weak trends.  The pace of growth is slow, but that's to be expected in an economic recovery from a financial crisis. 

Some good trends:

• Households are paying off their consumer debt even though credit is becoming easier to obtain, including home equity lines of credit which grew for the first time in years in the 3rd quarter of 2011. 
• Consumer sentiment picked up sharply in the last half of 2011, to a 6 month high in December.  Still low, but maybe consumers believe the economy will pick up in 2012.  Increasing confidence can become self fulfilling.
• The labor market is slowly coming back--December jobless claims were at their lowest level since 2008, but unemployment remains persistently high and gains are often due to declines in the number of people in the workforce.  It's going to take years until we get unemployment down to where it should be, 2 or 3 percent, and until we do, those folks can't buy houses and will have trouble keeping the ones they have, both downward pressure on the housing market.
• Housing prices continue to decline, a trend that will continue until we work off the backlog of foreclosures, short sales and the shadow inventory  (homes that folks want to sell which they took off the market, waiting for higher prices).  Until all of these houses are sold, prices will remain under pressure.  Housing recessions are always long and this one is no different.  But the good news is, affordability is rising dramatically due to lower prices and rock bottom mortgage rates.

Home prices may not stabilize completely in 2012, but we're getting closer--rising affordability itself will put a floor under prices, maybe this summer.  Stay tuned.

Better Year in 2012?

No question about it, new home construction around town has picked up since the first of the year.  While noting like boom days a few years back, builders are back to work, perhaps at pre boom levels, building homes in all price ranges.  Hard data are difficult to gather and it's difficult to say what's causing this up tick in construction, but several things may be driving buyers.  First, folks may just be tired of waiting, second, interest rates remain historically low for those who qualify and third, some of the new homes sitting on the market have been sold and inventory levels are down from a year ago.

One thing for sure, the market is more competitive than ever as the many foreclosures and short sales continue to push prices lower. Home buyers are all looking for a good deal and all expect to spend less money than a few yearts ago, so builders will have to squeeze their profit margins and be ready to bargain.  Buyers who are serious have their financing lined up and ready to sign, something we haven't seen in a while.  If one developer can't make the deal happen, the next one will.

2012 may not mark the end of our troubled housing market, but it may mark the beginning of the long awaited stabilization of house prices and better markets down the road.